Models and Forecasts of the Export Potential of the Regional Economic System

Introduction. The export potential of the regional agricultural market causes great interest from both scientific community and government agencies. Many studies are devoted to search for methods increase in order ensure sustainable development economic systems. article proposes tests original author’s algorithm creating a dynamic econometric model forecasting volumes production, sales exports main types livestock products at level. purpose is assess based on built models. Materials Methods. research set empirical data result input variables characterizing region period 2010–2020. Research include analysis, modeling forecasting. analysis carried out made it possible change sale region, current trends. Based constructed models, most significant factors influencing resulting were identified, specifications verification models out. method extrapolation identified trends evaluate predicted values medium term. Results. selected variables, milk, wool eggs by producers built. From variety alternative with best statistical quality characteristics selected. high level obtained use them predictive calculations levels 2021–2026. Comparison results forecasts identify that already have exportability. In addition, low exportability which increase. Discussion Conclusion. As using methods, obtain forecast near future. practical significance this lies possibility through corresponding factor Thus, can be used planning activities, authorities when drawing up programs.